The UK housing market, once a symbol of strength and resilience, is now facing one of its most challenging periods in decades. As we step into 2024, a significant shift in property prices and buying patterns is emerging, indicating a power shift towards buyers and a potential goldmine for those with cash on hand.
Unyielding Market Conditions
Jeremy Prior, Managing Director of Auction House, has a stark message for property sellers: adapt to the changing market or risk being ignored. The past year has seen a noticeable decline in property values, with homes now selling for an average of £18,000 below the asking price. This downward trend isn’t new; it’s been a year-long slide, resulting in a 1.2% drop in property prices. However, what’s startling is the extent of the plunge in some areas, with Auction House noting decreases as steep as 30% from the peak prices of 2021.
A Buyer’s Market Emerges
This isn’t just a momentary dip. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecasts an additional 4.7% fall in house prices for 2024. The root of this shift lies in the ongoing cost-of-living crisis, which is stretching buyer budgets thin. The market is now flooded with 34% more homes for sale compared to last year, creating a buyer’s market. With less competition, buyers are leveraging their stronger bargaining positions, often securing substantial discounts.
The Harsh Reality for Sellers
For sellers, this market demands a new strategy. Auction House warns that unrealistic pricing will only lead to properties languishing on the market, ignored and forgotten. Prior’s advice is blunt: “Wake up and smell the coffee.” He cautions against clinging to inflated prices encouraged by overly optimistic estate agents. Instead, he advises sellers to accept the hard truth and price their properties competitively.
The Rise of Cash Transactions
Looking ahead, 2024 is set to become the year of the cash buyer. With mortgages hitting their highest levels in over a decade, there’s a growing trend of buyers purchasing properties outright, without relying on loans. This shift is significant, as cash buyers are expected to dominate the market, making the adage ‘Cash is King’ more relevant than ever.